School roll projections

We publish school roll projections for primary and secondary schools in December each year. These show how many children we predict will be at a school in the future. We use these as a strategic guide.

Download primary school roll projections (PDF, 290 KB)
Download secondary school roll projections (PDF, 113 KB)
Download school roll projections methodology (PDF, 164 KB)

We base our projections on

  • birth rates
  • housing developments
  • catchment population trends.

The projections suggest when certain schools will be over capacity.

Future projections may vary due to changes in

  • patterns of attendance
  • the housing and construction industries
  • education policy.